Reggiana vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
FCS
1 - 1
REG
18%
27%
56%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
EMP
4 - 1
REG
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
REG
1 - 0
TER
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
PES
2 - 1
REG
26%
28%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
REG
0 - 1
SPA
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 1
USA
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
TER
3 - 1
SPE
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FER
2 - 2
SPE
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SPE
2 - 0
POL
65%
22%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
FCS
0 - 0
SPE
25%
27%
49%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |