Reggiana vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
REG
0 - 1
FAN
79%
13%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
UNI
2 - 1
REG
54%
21%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
MOD
1 - 0
REG
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
REG
3 - 1
USC
68%
17%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
REG
2 - 2
ACP
80%
12%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1950 |
SPE
0 - 0
MOD
43%
24%
33%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1950 |
VIC
3 - 0
SPE
60%
20%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
SPE
2 - 1
USA
61%
19%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
LIV
2 - 1
SPE
58%
21%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SPE
1 - 0
SAL
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |