Reggiana vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
22.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
BRE
0 - 0
REG
55%
28%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
REG
3 - 1
BAR
55%
28%
17%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
LEC
0 - 1
REG
38%
33%
29%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
REG
0 - 0
REG
66%
23%
11%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
REG
1 - 2
CES
55%
28%
17%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 0
REG
66%
23%
11%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
CES
2 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAN
57%
28%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
PRG
1 - 2
VAR
41%
32%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASS
63%
24%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |