Reggiana vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
REG
5 - 2
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 3
REG
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
REG
2 - 0
MOD
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
ANC
6 - 2
PES
39%
22%
39%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
BRE
12 - 0
ANC
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 4
SIR
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
ANC
0 - 1
VNZ
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
TRE
7 - 0
ANC
75%
14%
11%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |