Reggiana vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
19%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
SAL
1 - 1
REG
54%
23%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
LIV
4 - 1
REG
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
REG
1 - 1
TRE
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
ANC
2 - 1
SER
75%
14%
11%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
LIV
2 - 1
ANC
67%
18%
14%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
ANC
1 - 1
MES
46%
23%
32%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
ANC
3 - 2
CAT
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPE
1 - 0
ANC
75%
15%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |