Reggiana vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
ARZ
1 - 0
REG
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
RIM
46%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
PIS
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SPA
0 - 1
REG
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
REG
1 - 1
CTT
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
ACP
0 - 2
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
PIS
3 - 0
ACP
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
ACP
0 - 1
CTT
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CES
1 - 4
ACP
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAV
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |