Reggiana vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 0
REG
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 0
REG
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
REG
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
REG
1 - 0
COS
72%
16%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 3
REG
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 4
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACP
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 1
MOD
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
ACP
3 - 1
ASS
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MES
2 - 2
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |