Reggiana vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SPE
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
REG
1 - 1
PRO
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CES
1 - 0
REG
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
REG
1 - 0
ASL
42%
29%
30%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
REG
0 - 1
PIS
47%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 2
SPA
35%
29%
36%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
PAD
4 - 0
PAV
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 1
RIM
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
3 - 0
PAV
56%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
61%
23%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |