Coppa Italia 1/64
Global 6-4
Reggiana vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1959 |
REG
3 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
REG
0 - 0
PAL
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
VER
2 - 1
REG
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
ASS
3 - 0
REG
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
CAT
62%
21%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
MAN
0 - 7
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 3
MAN
42%
22%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
MAN
1 - 0
USC
69%
16%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
MAN
1 - 3
CAS
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
ASM
1 - 2
MAN
19%
21%
60%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |