Reggiana vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BV5
1 - 0
REG
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
USA
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ABN
0 - 1
REG
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
REG
0 - 0
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 1
GER
42%
27%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PIA
1 - 0
ACL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACL
2 - 0
ABN
55%
25%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PAV
0 - 2
ACL
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACL
2 - 3
BV5
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |