Reggiana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.2%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
REG
3 - 2
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 2
REG
42%
29%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
TRE
1 - 0
REG
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
CES
1 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 1
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CES
2 - 0
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ABN
0 - 0
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
CES
0 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |