Reggiana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ARZ
4 - 1
REG
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
REG
2 - 2
SPA
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
REG
1 - 2
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 1
REG
32%
27%
42%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
REG
1 - 1
VAR
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CES
0 - 0
ALV
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ABN
2 - 1
CES
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
CES
2 - 1
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 3
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
CES
0 - 2
MOD
65%
22%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |