Reggiana vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
18.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
16.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
BRI
0 - 0
REG
33%
28%
38%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
REG
0 - 0
CAT
56%
27%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
FCC
1 - 0
REG
52%
29%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
GEN
2 - 1
REG
49%
30%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
REG
1 - 0
TAR
64%
24%
12%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
CES
3 - 0
LEC
68%
22%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
58%
27%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CES
2 - 0
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ARZ
2 - 0
CES
47%
32%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |