Pro Sesto vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
INV
2 - 3
PRO
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
CAR
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
2 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 1
MAP
55%
25%
21%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
PRO
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 5
MAP
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
PON
5 - 2
VBE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 1
FIO
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SON
2 - 2
VBE
23%
22%
55%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 1
BUS
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |