Pro Sesto vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PIZ
0 - 2
PRO
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 1
GRO
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
PAV
40%
28%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
2 - 0
PRO
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 2
ACS
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
SAS
3 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
50%
28%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 0
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAD
1 - 2
NOV
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 0
ASS
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |