Pro Sesto vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
70%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
PRO
0 - 2
REG
6%
21%
74%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 5
MOD
33%
28%
40%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +7 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
FAN
6 - 1
PRO
87%
8%
5%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 1
LIV
25%
26%
49%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRO
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
FIO
3 - 0
BRE
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
BRE
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
BRE
0 - 3
INT
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 2
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |