Pro Sesto vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Sesto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 2
PRO
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PRO
3 - 2
ARC
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 0
VAR
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
DER
0 - 4
PRO
13%
23%
65%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 0
DER
86%
10%
4%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAR
2 - 2
PAV
13%
21%
67%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 2
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OLG
1 - 1
PAV
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
PAV
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |