Prato vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ACP
2 - 0
COR
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MEZ
3 - 1
ACP
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACP
1 - 1
FAN
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GER
3 - 0
ACP
72%
18%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ACP
0 - 1
PIS
20%
25%
55%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ATT
0 - 3
USP
16%
20%
65%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
USP
1 - 0
GHI
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACS
1 - 1
USP
24%
28%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USP
3 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GAV
2 - 1
USP
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |