Prato vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACP
42%
21%
37%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
ACP
4 - 3
LIV
41%
23%
36%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACP
73%
16%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ACP
3 - 1
USA
42%
24%
35%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
MOD
5 - 1
ACP
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
MOD
3 - 1
USC
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
USC
3 - 0
VER
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BRE
1 - 1
USC
71%
17%
13%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
USC
3 - 0
TAR
62%
20%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
USC
1 - 1
CAT
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |