Prato vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ASA
2 - 0
ACP
44%
28%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 0
PRG
45%
28%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 1
ACP
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 0
SSB
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
ACP
29%
27%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
PIS
0 - 3
AVE
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCC
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ASA
0 - 2
AVE
37%
29%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAT
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASG
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |