Prato vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
30.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACP
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ACP
0 - 2
VAR
35%
28%
38%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ACP
2 - 2
ASS
43%
29%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
VER
3 - 0
ACP
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
ACP
0 - 0
USF
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
USA
0 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
NAP
1 - 1
USA
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
USA
3 - 1
VNZ
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
PAD
5 - 0
USA
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
USA
1 - 2
VER
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |