Prato vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ACP
0 - 4
REG
31%
22%
47%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
VIC
1 - 2
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACP
0 - 1
AMB
89%
8%
4%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
5 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
43%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
7 - 1
MON
78%
13%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
TAR
0 - 1
JPA
87%
9%
5%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
3 - 0
SIR
63%
19%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
TAR
4 - 2
COS
57%
20%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
TAR
1 - 0
RPO
76%
14%
10%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
TAR
2 - 0
BRI
72%
15%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |