Prato vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PON
2 - 0
ACP
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ACP
0 - 0
ARZ
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
OLB
1 - 1
ACP
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ACP
3 - 2
GER
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACP
68%
20%
12%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SIE
0 - 2
PIA
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
CUN
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SIE
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2018 |
PIA
0 - 1
SIE
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
SIE
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |