Prato vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
60.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 2
ACP
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 1
PIS
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAV
1 - 0
ACP
29%
28%
44%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ACP
2 - 4
CAR
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACP
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 1
PIS
75%
18%
8%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
SIE
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 2
SIE
23%
26%
52%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SIE
0 - 4
TUT
75%
18%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAV
0 - 3
SIE
9%
21%
70%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |