Prato vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 0
SSS
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
COM
0 - 1
ACP
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
BAR
4 - 0
ACP
56%
25%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
LAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 0
COS
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |