Prato vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
VNZ
2 - 0
ACP
68%
18%
14%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 2
TRA
56%
19%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
ACP
2 - 1
SAL
62%
18%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
FIO
4 - 0
ACP
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
VER
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 3
MAN
42%
22%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRI
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
TAR
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAR
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |