Prato vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ASG
1 - 0
ACP
50%
26%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 0
SSB
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACP
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ACP
0 - 0
LAQ
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
BEN
3 - 0
ACP
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
0 - 3
FCV
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 2
PAG
75%
17%
8%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
PON
1 - 1
PAG
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PAG
1 - 1
BEN
10%
21%
70%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAG
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |