Prato vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 1
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
REG
1 - 0
ACP
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 0
VIG
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 2
ACP
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ACP
1 - 0
SSS
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
NOV
2 - 0
PAR
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 2
NOV
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
NOV
0 - 0
VNZ
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
VIG
1 - 0
NOV
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
NOV
3 - 1
MOD
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |