Prato vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
46.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
ACP
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ACP
5 - 0
TRI
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
ACP
66%
22%
13%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
3 - 0
ACP
65%
22%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 2
BV5
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 2
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
NOC
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NOC
1 - 0
PAG
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PES
1 - 0
NOC
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +2 |