Prato vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
25%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
BAR
3 - 0
ACP
66%
18%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1950 |
SPA
5 - 1
ACP
82%
11%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1950 |
ACP
0 - 1
CAT
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1950 |
SPE
5 - 1
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 3
SAL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
62%
21%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
PRO
2 - 2
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1957 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1957 |
MES
1 - 0
MOD
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1957 |
MES
0 - 0
NOV
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |