Prato vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ACP
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 4
TUT
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACP
36%
28%
37%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
JUS
1 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 3
BEN
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 2
SAV
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ASG
0 - 2
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ASL
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
ANC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |