Prato vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACP
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACP
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
MES
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 2
USF
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1961 |
VER
1 - 0
ACP
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
ASL
0 - 4
PIS
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 3
PAD
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
CAG
3 - 0
ASL
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ATP
3 - 1
ASL
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
ASL
1 - 1
ACM
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |