Prato vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACP
73%
16%
12%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ACP
3 - 1
USA
42%
24%
35%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
MOD
5 - 1
ACP
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ACP
2 - 1
EMP
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BRE
5 - 0
ACP
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
TAR
1 - 2
LIV
40%
24%
37%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 2
VER
40%
23%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
EMP
2 - 2
LIV
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
UDI
3 - 0
LIV
70%
16%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
LIV
3 - 1
MOD
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |