Prato vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
COS
1 - 1
ACP
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ACP
3 - 0
FCC
48%
25%
28%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
VER
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ACP
2 - 3
JUV
18%
21%
61%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
NOV
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 0
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
USA
0 - 2
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GEN
2 - 1
COM
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |