Prato vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 0
ACP
58%
22%
21%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ACP
0 - 4
COR
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -3 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
USR
2 - 2
ACP
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ACP
1 - 2
MEZ
44%
26%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PRO
3 - 1
ACP
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
GAV
0 - 0
RIE
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
UNV
0 - 2
GAV
13%
18%
69%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 0
GAV
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
SCA
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |