Prato vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
BRE
5 - 0
ACP
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
UDI
1 - 0
ACP
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ACP
2 - 1
VER
31%
23%
46%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
ACP
1 - 0
REG
31%
23%
46%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACP
76%
15%
10%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
EMP
1 - 3
UDI
33%
22%
45%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
PIS
3 - 2
EMP
56%
20%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SAL
1 - 0
EMP
65%
18%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1949 |
EMP
0 - 1
VER
35%
22%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1949 |
BRE
5 - 3
EMP
65%
18%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |