Prato vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACP
36%
29%
35%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACP
1 - 0
TUT
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LAQ
2 - 0
ACP
34%
30%
36%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ACP
3 - 1
PON
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ACP
0 - 0
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
PON
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAC
4 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
PIS
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 1
CAR
17%
24%
59%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
RIM
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |