Prato vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 2
ACP
57%
25%
18%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 0
USC
16%
24%
60%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
4 - 3
ACP
79%
15%
6%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 1
LAT
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 0
ACP
61%
24%
15%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 3
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
SPE
22%
27%
51%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BV5
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
ASA
24%
29%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
FRO
16%
23%
61%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |