Prato vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
6º
16º
8º
72
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 45 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 44 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
94% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 33 |
15º
|
94% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
ACP
1 - 2
COR
29%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VSM
1 - 1
ACP
28%
21%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ACP
2 - 1
LEN
22%
25%
53%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
FAN
1 - 1
ACP
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ACP
0 - 4
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
CER
1 - 3
CAR
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
IMO
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
SAM
77%
16%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAR
6%
15%
79%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | -1 |