Prato vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
PAR
3 - 1
ACP
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
ACP
0 - 3
VNZ
39%
28%
33%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
COM
2 - 1
ACP
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
ACP
0 - 2
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 0
ACP
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAG
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
CAG
3 - 0
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAG
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAG
1 - 0
SSS
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
VNZ
5 - 1
CAG
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |