Prato vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
COM
3 - 1
ACP
69%
18%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ACP
2 - 2
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
BRE
0 - 1
ACP
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ACP
2 - 1
ACM
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
PAR
0 - 3
ACP
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 1
VNZ
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
CAG
2 - 0
PAR
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
MOD
0 - 0
CAG
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
BRE
5 - 0
CAG
59%
22%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
CAG
0 - 0
TAR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |