Prato vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 2
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 1
ACP
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
TRI
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 1
ACP
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ACP
1 - 0
FCC
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 0
USA
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
2 - 1
PAR
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
FCC
2 - 1
BRE
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
PAL
2 - 0
BRE
55%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 2
VNZ
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |