Prato vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
ACP
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
ACP
1 - 0
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
CAT
1 - 0
ACP
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
ACP
3 - 0
TRI
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACP
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
CAG
4 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 3
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
BRE
0 - 1
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
BRE
2 - 3
ASS
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |