Prato vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 1
UDI
33%
24%
44%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
VER
6 - 2
ACP
77%
14%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
REG
2 - 2
ACP
80%
12%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 0
NAP
40%
26%
35%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
ACP
1 - 2
SIR
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
BRE
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
UDI
1 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
BRE
3 - 2
USA
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
EMP
0 - 1
BRE
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
BRE
1 - 1
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |