Prato vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
SPE
21%
26%
53%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
ACP
52%
26%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
FCS
32%
29%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
USC
0 - 0
ACP
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SPE
3 - 0
BV5
65%
22%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 2
BV5
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BV5
0 - 2
ASA
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SIR
2 - 2
BV5
61%
24%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BV5
1 - 2
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |