Prato vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 5
ACP
18%
19%
63%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACP
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ACP
2 - 1
RIM
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
ACP
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
ACP
0 - 1
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
RIM
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 0
COR
15%
19%
65%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 2
BAG
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 3
PRO
25%
21%
55%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAG
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |