Prato vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACP
51%
27%
23%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ACP
1 - 2
COM
49%
27%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ACP
3 - 1
SAS
38%
29%
33%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 2
ACP
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ACP
0 - 1
ACL
32%
29%
40%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
FIA
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 0
VIT
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAN
0 - 1
SPE
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SPE
1 - 1
PRO
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |