Prato vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
ACL
0 - 1
ACP
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ACP
1 - 0
SPA
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
CTT
0 - 2
ACP
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACP
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ACP
1 - 1
PAD
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SPE
1 - 1
ABN
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 0
SPE
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
TRE
2 - 0
SPE
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2002 |
PIS
2 - 1
SPE
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |