Prato vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 1
ACP
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ACP
2 - 2
PRO
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ABN
3 - 0
ACP
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
ACP
1 - 2
ASL
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
ALZ
1 - 3
ACP
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
REG
1 - 1
ACL
44%
27%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
TRE
2 - 0
REG
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
REG
5 - 1
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
PAD
5 - 2
REG
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
REG
2 - 3
CAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |