Prato vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
VIC
1 - 2
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACP
0 - 1
AMB
89%
8%
4%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
5 - 2
EMP
35%
23%
43%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
ACP
7 - 1
MON
78%
13%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
ACP
6 - 0
PON
69%
17%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ASL
1 - 2
REG
41%
22%
36%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
REG
2 - 3
FAN
87%
9%
5%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1938 |
REG
2 - 1
PAR
66%
17%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
REG
1 - 0
FOL
90%
7%
3%
|
75 | 27 | 48 | 0 |